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Today, Sunday, November 2, 2025, the Caribbean region is experiencing a mix of weather conditions influenced by the end of the Atlantic hurricane season.
A weakened tropical depression (formerly Tropical Storm Oscar, which made landfall in Cuba yesterday) is bringing heavy rain and strong winds to the western Caribbean, particularly affecting Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and parts of Hispaniola (Haiti and the Dominican Republic).
Meanwhile, in the eastern Caribbean (e.g., Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and the Lesser Antilles), mostly partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and temperatures between 29 and 30 °C (85 °F) are being observed under the influence of a broad high-pressure system.
In central regions such as the Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, sunny intervals are being recorded with moderate trade winds between 24 and 32 km/h (15-20 mph).
There are no major active tropical cyclones, but moisture from the depression is generating scattered thunderstorms throughout the region.
Humidity levels are high (70-90%) and sea surface temperatures remain warm, between 28 and 30 °C, which is keeping the atmosphere unstable.
Impacts
The weather has varying degrees of disruption, primarily localized to the rain-affected zones. Here’s a breakdown:
Overall, the impacts are moderate and short-lived compared to typical peak season events, with no need for mass evacuations.
Short term (next 24-72 hours): The risk of flooding persists in low-lying areas of Cuba and Haiti, which could lead to outbreaks of waterborne diseases if sanitation systems become overwhelmed.
Travel disruptions could cost airlines and hotels between $5 and $10 million across the region. Positive note: Rainfall is mitigating the drought in inland Jamaica, contributing to reservoir recovery.
Medium term (1-2 weeks): Recovery efforts will focus on infrastructure repair, supported by international aid (e.g., from USAID) to Haiti.
Tourism is expected to recover by mid-November, but insurance claims for property damage could increase by 15%. From an environmental perspective, nutrient runoff from the floods could trigger temporary algal blooms in coastal waters.
Long term: This event highlights the Caribbean’s vulnerability to late-season systems, even as they weaken.
It could accelerate investments in resilient infrastructure, such as the flood barriers in Haiti, funded by recent climate adaptation grants.
No significant change in regional weather patterns is observed, but it does underscore the need to improve early warning systems for rising sea temperatures.
Today’s weather represents a typical “nuisance” event for the Caribbean: disruptive, but not catastrophic, and marks a quieter end to the 2025 hurricane season (which saw 14 named storms, below average).
Localized flooding in the west poses humanitarian challenges in already vulnerable areas like Haiti, but the rapid dissipation of the depression minimizes larger-scale threats.
Key message: Proactive measures, such as community alert apps and elevated housing, have mitigated worse consequences, saving lives and reducing the economic impact.
Residents and visitors should stay informed of updates from the National Hurricane Center, remain hydrated due to the humidity, and prepare for possible lingering rain.
For the region, this is a reminder of the importance of strengthening resilience, as global warming intensifies this climate variability. If you are traveling, the eastern islands offer the safest and sunniest destinations today.
