{"id":58383,"date":"2026-01-09T15:38:58","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T15:38:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/codigopostalrd.net\/?p=58383"},"modified":"2026-01-09T22:21:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T22:21:14","slug":"muerte-al-dictador-gritan-los-manifestantes-en-iran-que-cumplen-hoy-el-duodecimo-dia-en-las-calles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/codigopostalrd.net\/?p=58383","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;\u00a1Muerte al dictador!, gritan los manifestantes en Ir\u00e1n que cumplen hoy el duod\u00e9cimo d\u00eda en las calles"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"\">Especial para los seguidores de codigopostalrd.net<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Las protestas en curso en Ir\u00e1n, que comenzaron el 29 de diciembre de 2025 en el bazar de Teher\u00e1n, han evolucionado desde quejas econ\u00f3micas iniciales hasta un desaf\u00edo m\u00e1s amplio contra el r\u00e9gimen de la Rep\u00fablica Isl\u00e1mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Desatadas por una fuerte devaluaci\u00f3n del rial , que lleg\u00f3 a superar los 1,35 millones de riales por d\u00f3lar estadounidense, y una hiperinflaci\u00f3n superior al 40%, los disturbios se han extendido a m\u00e1s de 100 ciudades en 25 provincias, lo que representa el desaf\u00edo nacional m\u00e1s significativo desde el levantamiento de Mahsa Amini de 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"\u062f\u0648\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0632 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u06af\u0633\u062a\u0631\u062f\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u0647\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0648 \u062f\u06cc\u06af\u0631 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u0647\u0627\u061b \u067e\u0644\u06cc\u0633 \u0628\u0647 \u062e\u0634\u0648\u0646\u062a \u0648 \u0634\u0644\u06cc\u06a9 \u06af\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0634\u06a9\u200c\u0622\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0644 \u0634\u062f\" width=\"696\" height=\"392\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/quUJh3ONYts?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Para el 9 de enero de 2026, las manifestaciones hab\u00edan entrado en su duod\u00e9cimo d\u00eda, con la participaci\u00f3n de comerciantes, estudiantes, camioneros y diversos grupos \u00e9tnicos, con c\u00e1nticos que pasaban de demandas econ\u00f3micas a llamados como &#8220;\u00a1Muerte al dictador!&#8221; y referencias a la restauraci\u00f3n de la monarqu\u00eda Pahlavi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">El r\u00e9gimen enfrenta una crisis de legitimidad en medio de divisiones internas, presiones externas y una creciente violencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Estas protestas se basan en un historial de disturbios, que incluye el Movimiento Verde de 2009, las protestas por el combustible de 2019 y el movimiento &#8220;Mujer, Vida, Libertad&#8221; de 2022, pero se distinguen por su r\u00e1pida escalada, su mayor alcance geogr\u00e1fico (incluidas las zonas rurales) y la confluencia de un colapso econ\u00f3mico con una influencia regional debilitada tras la guerra de 12 d\u00edas de Ir\u00e1n con Israel en junio de 2025 y la renovaci\u00f3n de las sanciones &#8220;snapback&#8221; en septiembre de 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Las protestas han tenido impactos multifac\u00e9ticos en la sociedad, la econom\u00eda y la pol\u00edtica iran\u00edes, exacerbando las vulnerabilidades existentes y poniendo de manifiesto las fallas sist\u00e9micas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Los disturbios han fomentado un esp\u00edritu revolucionario, uniendo a diversos grupos \u2014comerciantes, estudiantes, trabajadores, minor\u00edas \u00e9tnicas (por ejemplo, kurdos, baluchis, sunitas) e incluso algunas comunidades religiosas\u2014 en torno a agravios compartidos como la represi\u00f3n, la pobreza y los abusos de derechos humanos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Los funerales de los manifestantes asesinados se han convertido en focos de tensi\u00f3n, amplificando la disidencia y erosionando el miedo al r\u00e9gimen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Las mujeres y los j\u00f3venes, clave en levantamientos anteriores, siguen impulsando el movimiento, con informes de arrestos de menores (por ejemplo, 70 menores de 18 a\u00f1os solo en Yasuj), lo que pone de relieve las duras t\u00e1cticas del r\u00e9gimen contra las poblaciones vulnerables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Un mayor acceso a la informaci\u00f3n a trav\u00e9s de las redes sociales ha difundido la concienciaci\u00f3n, pero ha fragmentado la organizaci\u00f3n, limitando la uni\u00f3n en una fuerza unificada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">m Las huelgas de comerciantes de bazares, camioneros y f\u00e1bricas han paralizado sectores clave, agravando la crisis monetaria y la inflaci\u00f3n. La devaluaci\u00f3n del 50% del rial desde noviembre de 2025 ha desplomado el poder adquisitivo, ha cerrado negocios y ha erosionado la confianza p\u00fablica, impulsando la fuga de capitales hacia el oro y las divisas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Esto, sumado a las sanciones, la mala gesti\u00f3n y la financiaci\u00f3n indirecta de guerras, ha profundizado la pobreza, el desempleo juvenil y la erosi\u00f3n de la clase media, sin que se vislumbre un alivio a corto plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Las protestas han puesto de manifiesto las fracturas del r\u00e9gimen, con el l\u00edder supremo Ali Khamenei culpando a los &#8220;enemigos&#8221; mientras el presidente Masoud Pezeshkian ofrece di\u00e1logo, lo que muchos consideran una &#8220;terapia del habla&#8221; vac\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Los debates internos sobre las estrategias de respuesta ponen de relieve la debilidad del Cuerpo de la Guardia Revolucionaria Isl\u00e1mica (CGRI) que recurre a la fuerza letal ante la p\u00e9rdida de prestigio regional tras las derrotas en 2025. Figuras exiliadas como Reza Pahlavi han amplificado los llamamientos a la transici\u00f3n, lo que podr\u00eda inspirar deserciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Al menos entre 7 y 25 muertos (incluyendo manifestantes y fuerzas de seguridad), entre 33 y m\u00e1s de 582 arrestos y decenas de heridos en enfrentamientos con gases lacrim\u00f3genos, balas de goma y fuego real.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">La violencia se ha intensificado en las zonas rurales, con informes de detenciones de menores y confesiones forzadas. La ONU y Amnist\u00eda Internacional advierten sobre patrones similares a los de la represi\u00f3n de 2022, donde murieron m\u00e1s de 550 personas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Los ataques prolongados amenazan los ingresos del r\u00e9gimen, mientras que la represi\u00f3n sobrecarga los recursos de seguridad. Los disturbios han paralizado los mercados, acelerado la fuga de capitales y agravado las amenazas ambientales, como las sequ\u00edas, lo que podr\u00eda provocar crisis humanitarias y el \u00e9xodo de refugiados. La corrupci\u00f3n de las \u00e9lites contrasta con el sufrimiento p\u00fablico, erosionando a\u00fan m\u00e1s la lealtad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Las amenazas del presidente estadounidense Trump de intervenir si se violan los derechos han aumentado las tensiones, e Ir\u00e1n advierte de un posible caos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Las protestas alteran los planes regionales, lo que podr\u00eda perjudicar las operaciones de representaci\u00f3n de Ir\u00e1n (por ejemplo, en Siria y Yemen), a la vez que invita a Israel a atacar los activos del CGRI. Las sanciones y los reveses militares han amplificado las vulnerabilidades internas, lo que aumenta el riesgo de respuestas asim\u00e9tricas como ciberataques o perturbaciones mar\u00edtimas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Al 9 de enero de 2026, las protestas segu\u00edan siendo vol\u00e1tiles y sin resolver, sin indicios de disminuir a pesar de la represi\u00f3n del r\u00e9gimen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Los analistas predicen una represi\u00f3n a corto plazo mediante coerci\u00f3n, restricciones de internet y arrestos, pero advierten de ciclos recurrentes debido a fallas econ\u00f3micas y pol\u00edticas no abordadas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">La resistencia del r\u00e9gimen se pone a prueba por el agotamiento de las sanciones, las p\u00e9rdidas de poder y el distanciamiento interno, lo que podr\u00eda conducir a fracturas de la \u00e9lite o colapsos localizados si los disturbios persisten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Los posibles resultados incluyen: (1) la supervivencia del r\u00e9gimen con una represi\u00f3n m\u00e1s profunda pero una legitimidad erosionada; (2) la escalada a enfrentamientos armados en regiones perif\u00e9ricas como Sist\u00e1n y Baluchist\u00e1n; o (3) un punto de inflexi\u00f3n hacia la transici\u00f3n democr\u00e1tica si se materializan el apoyo externo y las deserciones, aunque los precedentes hist\u00f3ricos sugieren una tasa de fracaso del 60% para tales movimientos sin respaldo internacional. Las pr\u00f3ximas semanas son cruciales, y la atenci\u00f3n global es crucial para prevenir m\u00e1s violencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"548\" height=\"428\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/codigopostalrd.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Captura-de-pantalla-2026-01-09-113726.png?fit=548%2C428&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-58389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/codigopostalrd.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Captura-de-pantalla-2026-01-09-113726.png?w=548&amp;ssl=1 548w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/codigopostalrd.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Captura-de-pantalla-2026-01-09-113726.png?resize=300%2C234&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/codigopostalrd.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Captura-de-pantalla-2026-01-09-113726.png?resize=150%2C117&amp;ssl=1 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 548px) 100vw, 548px\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Especial para los seguidores de codigopostalrd.net Las protestas en curso en Ir\u00e1n, que comenzaron el 29 de diciembre de 2025 en el bazar de Teher\u00e1n, han evolucionado desde quejas econ\u00f3micas iniciales hasta un desaf\u00edo m\u00e1s amplio contra el r\u00e9gimen de la Rep\u00fablica Isl\u00e1mica. Desatadas por una fuerte devaluaci\u00f3n del rial , que lleg\u00f3 a superar 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